August 2019 Real Estate Market Update Phoenix Metro
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Hot From Phoenix: Arizona Real Estate is on Fire! We have the LOWEST Number of New Listings Posted in at Least 18 Years, and Contracts in Escrow are Up Over 15%! Unless you are buying a home over half a million dollars in the Valley, you will need help finding inventory, since the good listings are going under contract within hours! Agents with strong connections are your best bet . . .
It’s slim pickings for buyers in Greater Phoenix these days unless your budget is over $500,000. Overall supply is 14% lower than last August while contracts in escrow are 15.5% higher! There are a plethora of zip codes considered “frenzies”, where there are literally more properties under contract than there are active for sale; all of them with an average sale price below $400,000. This is unusual for August, which is typically a much softer month. Buyers will have a slightly easier time in more expensive areas such as Central Phoenix, Ahwatukee, South Tempe and the Northeast Valley, but not much unless they’re willing to go further out or increase their budget. Any projections of prices flattening out or coming down in Greater Phoenix this year have been obliterated.
As supply plummets, fewer sellers are deciding to sell. July was THE lowest month for brand new listings going all the way back to the year 2001. That’s significant because the population today is 50% larger and the number of housing units is 63% higher than it was 18 years ago. 19% of all MLS sales and 26% of sales between $100K and $250K sold over asking price last July. Coincidentally (or not), 32% of sales within that same price range still included some form of seller-paid closing cost assistance. Despite the frenzy market, the annual appreciation rate for Greater Phoenix is just 6.4% and sales between $225K-$500K are clocking 3.5-4.0% on average. This may seem surprising given the widening gap between supply and demand; but appraisers remain conservative in their valuations and with at least 80% of buyers needing a loan, they’re riding the brakes on runaway appreciation thus far.
Provided as a proud subscriber of The Cromford Report. Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Housing Analyst
If you would like a print version of any of my housing market reports, or if I can help you buy or sell anywhere in North America, please let me know below, email or text!
About the Author: Denise van den Bossche has been a licensed Agent and homeowner for over 35 years in the Metro Phoenix Valley. To CONTACT Denise, please call 602.980.0737 or EMAIL: Denise@AZMultipleListingService.com. Her husband Patrick is President of Realty Executives International, so if you need help buying or selling homes anywhere in the U.S. or Canada, please call, email or text!
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